Predictive Heuristics Blog by Ward Lab Duke U.
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Quantitative Methods in International Studies. Quantitative Analysis of Civil Conflict. Welcome to my academic website. I am PhD candidate in the. I received my BA from. Near Eastern Languages and Cultures. I recently joined the faculty of the School of International Service. Courses on research methods and the Middle East. I am also a Fellow.
Civil war, prediction, and R. Good coup, bad coup. This post first appeared at Predictive Heuristics. Wrote about good coups on Monkey Cage a few weeks ago, in the shadow of fallout from the LaCour revelations. Good coups namely are those that lead to democratization, rather than outcomes one might more commonly associate with coups, like military rule, dictatorship, or instability.
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This web site has the following on the web site, "Blog by Ward Lab Duke U." Our analyzers noticed that the web page also said " Taking stock of the risk of coups detat in 2017." The Website also said " First, this project is very much inspired by and in may ways a continuation of Jay Ulfelders coup forecasts for 2012-2015 2012. It also draws on previous work Mike Ward, Cassy Dorff, and I have done on forecasting irregular leadership changes, which include coups, but also other mechanisms of sudden leader change. Who define coup attempts as. There arent any real surprises in the list of high risk cou."VIEW SIMILAR WEB SITES
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